Four weeks ago, you never could have imagined this. As Carlos Delgado rocketed his second home run off of Phillies starter Cole Hamels deep into the New York night, the Phillies were on their way to a two game deficit in the National League East. However, a funny thing happened on the way to the playoffs. A sweep of the Brewers at home, a second straight division title, a series win in the NLDS, and three thrilling victories against the Dodgers in the NLCS later and the Philadelphia Phillies find themselves just one win away from advancing to their sixth World Series in franchise history.
It's not the fact that the Phillies simply managed to finally win a game this year at Dodger Stadium to give them a three games to one series lead over L.A., it's the tension filled, spine tingling, come from behind victory last night that will have Phillies fans talking about this game for the rest of their lives.
From the outset, it looked like the Phillies were in the drivers seat against starter Derek Lowe, who was pitching on three days rest. The Phillies jumped to an early 2-0 at the end of the first. Starter Joe Blanton, not unlike game three loser Jamie Moyer, was not as sharp as he was against the Brewers in the previous week, yielding a game tying rbi to (who else?) Manny Ramirez in the bottom of the fifth. The Dodgers eventually took the lead on a ground out. After the Phillies tied the game on a wild pitch by Dodgers reliever Chan Ho Park, reliever Chad Durbin surrendered a go ahead home run to Casey Blake in the bottom of the sixth, and only a tremendous game saving double play by Chase Utley prevented the Dodgers from blowing the game wide open to ending the inning with a 5-3 lead. Truth be told, the Phillies looked dead in the water. They had a game that was seemingly in their grasp slip away from them. What could have been a commanding three games to one series lead was looking more and more like a series tied at two games a piece.
Then it happened. A base hit and a pop up later, Shane Victorino laced a game tying home run to right field. After a base hit by Carlos Ruiz, late season acquisition Matt Stairs launched a 3-1 fast ball off Dodgers closer Jonathan Broxton deep into the right field seats, and suddenly the Phillies had a 7-5 lead. After a four out save by Brad Lidge, the Phillies stunned the Dodger Stadium crowd, and ended one of the most unlikely comebacks in the post season history of the franchise. With staff ace Cole Hamels on the mound for the possible clinching victory in game five, the Phillies put themselves in a very good position to clinch the pennant tomorrow. Once again, they are not arrogant but confident. An example of this could have possibly occurred this afternoon when Pat Burrell called a team meeting just prior to their workout. Nobody is sure exactly what was said in the meeting. It does however, speak volumes when Burrell, a notoriously quiet presence in the clubhouse is becoming quite vocal in the wake of the current circumstances.
The home run was sweet redemption for Victorino, who was a victim of retaliation on behalf of Dodgers starter Hiroki Kuroda in game three. After Phillies pitchers threw inside to Dodger hitters Ramirez and Russell Martin in games two and three respectively, Kuroda threw over Victorino's head an inning later. The center fielder made it clear that throwing above the head was off limits, which the Dodgers seemed to understand. However, after Victorino was retired to end the inning, more words were exchanged and benches cleared, but order was eventually restored. Many insiders were wondering whose team this would fire up more, the Phillies or Dodgers? The answer to that is unclear, but we do know one particular Philly who let his bat do the talking. Victorino is our Pete Rose, Scott Stevens, and maybe a little bit of the good T.O. all rolled into one. Always maintaining an upbeat attitude while remaining confident, always being part of the action, and doing whatever it takes to put a spark into your team. It's no surprise that most of the biggest moments in the playoffs this season have centered around Victorino, who right now should be the odds-on favorite for the NLCS MVP should the Phillies win this thing.
If the home run was redemption for Victorino, it was validation for Stairs. The seventeen year veteran and the quiet owner of 254 major league home runs has only been with the Phillies for a few weeks. Some fans called me and didn't even know who he was! What everyone soon knew was that the ball he hit would still be travelling if it wasn't such a cool night in L.A. The emotion on Stairs' face after rounding the bases said it all. A great guy and a good influence in the clubhouse, you really couldn't think of a better defining moment to have the biggest hit in your major league career. Hopefully for Stairs and the Phillies, there's much more to come.
Not unnoticed in the Phillies win is that the team is continuing to play exactly how all teams should play: Like a team. Ryan Howard may not be hitting the ball out of the park, but his base hit led to Victorino's home run. Carlos Ruiz may have only hit .219 this season, but if it weren't for his two out single, there is no Stairs home run, and I may be writing a completely different column right now. Ruiz's performance in the playoffs is much reminiscent of Bob Boone's performance in the 1980 NLCS. While Boone only hit .228 in 1980, his stellar defense and timely clutch hitting in the playoffs were enough to compensate for some of the subpar performances of the team's superstars.
Don't get me wrong, this team does have some concerns if they are to advance to the World Series. Chad Durbin is clearly exhausted after pitching in almost 80 games this season. Jamie Moyer has looked downright abysmal in the only two losses the Phillies have suffered this postseason, and Ryan Howard is seriously suffering from a bad case of Steve Sax disease. However, when your team overcomes such obstacles as game four of the NLCS with timely hitting from the unlikliest of heroes, one might dare to think that everything will pan out, and that luck for once may be on your side.
Don't believe me? We'll find out in a few days.
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Phils look to take pennant in LA as they carry heavy hearts
The Phils took the red eye to Los Angeles Friday evening after taking the first two games of the NLCS against The Los Angeles Dodgers. However, these weren't just two typical wins in the NLCS. And come to think of it, these aren't your typical Phillies either.
The Dodgers first inning run in the opening game Thursday night could have been two runs- IF left fielder Manny Ramirez's long fly ball to center field didn't just hit the top panel before the stands. Baseball truly is a game of inches, and never more so for the Phillies on that particular play. The Dodgers Derek Lowe is known as one of the best post season pitchers in the last 30 years- BUT the Phillies got the best of him in game one just like they had done to C.C. Sabathia just one week prior. This was due in large part to Chase Utley's first post-season home run, and Pat Burrell's game winning blast moments later. And let's not forget Cole Hamels, who after a shaky start was able to settle down and pitch brilliantly for seven strong innings. Not many people are questioning the young lefthander's heart now, and after last year's shaky NLCS, Hamels has regrouped in 2008 and has been nothing short of spectacular this postseason. If you thought game one was awesome, this was truly the "Star Wars" to game two's "Empire Strikes Back".
Just prior to batting practice Friday afternoon, Charlie Manuel had received word that his 87 year-old mother had passed away after suffering a heart attack several days earlier. When game two starter Brett Myers heard the news, he told Manuel that he was going to win the game for his mother. It's obvious at this stage in Manuel's tenure in Philadelphia that he is truly loved by his players, and there is no doubt that circumstances or not, he gets the best from his players as well. Myers did not disappoint. His overall line was not impressive: five innings pitched, 5 runs, 6 hits, but once again it was his hitting that made the headlines.
Myers became the only pitcher in major league baseball history to go three for three with three rbi's in the Phillies 8-5 victory. Keep in mind that Myers only had four hits the entire season and has now equalled that in the playoffs. Like I said, these aren't your typical Phillies. Also lost in the mix was Shane Victorino, who had four runs batted in and made what was perhaps to this point the series most important catch. With a leap against the wall off the bat of Casey Blake's bat in the top of the eighth inning, Victorino easily saved three runs to keep the Dodgers scoreless for the fourth consecutive inning. The Phillies held on for the win, but moments after the game, he was told that his grandmother had passed away early Friday morning. Victorino's father had waited to tell him until after the game for fear that his performance would be affected. Nothing is yet confirmed, but it has been said that the families of Manuel and Victorino are taking care of arrangements that will enable both men to be present for the funerals of their respective loved ones while still being able to participate in the NLCS without missing any time. One thing is for certain: heaven now has a few more angels looking down on the Phillies.
In the whole history of this game, there is not doubt that the myriad of emotions experienced by the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday have not been equalled by any other team in the modern era. To play the way they did despite the circumstances truly shows the character of this team. Again they are not arrogant, claiming that there is still much work to be done as play resumes Sunday evening in Los Angeles. With the way they are playing they are getting closer and closer to the ultimate goal with each victory, even making believers out of the staunchest negadelphians.
And for that matter, some disgruntled fans as well.
The Dodgers first inning run in the opening game Thursday night could have been two runs- IF left fielder Manny Ramirez's long fly ball to center field didn't just hit the top panel before the stands. Baseball truly is a game of inches, and never more so for the Phillies on that particular play. The Dodgers Derek Lowe is known as one of the best post season pitchers in the last 30 years- BUT the Phillies got the best of him in game one just like they had done to C.C. Sabathia just one week prior. This was due in large part to Chase Utley's first post-season home run, and Pat Burrell's game winning blast moments later. And let's not forget Cole Hamels, who after a shaky start was able to settle down and pitch brilliantly for seven strong innings. Not many people are questioning the young lefthander's heart now, and after last year's shaky NLCS, Hamels has regrouped in 2008 and has been nothing short of spectacular this postseason. If you thought game one was awesome, this was truly the "Star Wars" to game two's "Empire Strikes Back".
Just prior to batting practice Friday afternoon, Charlie Manuel had received word that his 87 year-old mother had passed away after suffering a heart attack several days earlier. When game two starter Brett Myers heard the news, he told Manuel that he was going to win the game for his mother. It's obvious at this stage in Manuel's tenure in Philadelphia that he is truly loved by his players, and there is no doubt that circumstances or not, he gets the best from his players as well. Myers did not disappoint. His overall line was not impressive: five innings pitched, 5 runs, 6 hits, but once again it was his hitting that made the headlines.
Myers became the only pitcher in major league baseball history to go three for three with three rbi's in the Phillies 8-5 victory. Keep in mind that Myers only had four hits the entire season and has now equalled that in the playoffs. Like I said, these aren't your typical Phillies. Also lost in the mix was Shane Victorino, who had four runs batted in and made what was perhaps to this point the series most important catch. With a leap against the wall off the bat of Casey Blake's bat in the top of the eighth inning, Victorino easily saved three runs to keep the Dodgers scoreless for the fourth consecutive inning. The Phillies held on for the win, but moments after the game, he was told that his grandmother had passed away early Friday morning. Victorino's father had waited to tell him until after the game for fear that his performance would be affected. Nothing is yet confirmed, but it has been said that the families of Manuel and Victorino are taking care of arrangements that will enable both men to be present for the funerals of their respective loved ones while still being able to participate in the NLCS without missing any time. One thing is for certain: heaven now has a few more angels looking down on the Phillies.
In the whole history of this game, there is not doubt that the myriad of emotions experienced by the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday have not been equalled by any other team in the modern era. To play the way they did despite the circumstances truly shows the character of this team. Again they are not arrogant, claiming that there is still much work to be done as play resumes Sunday evening in Los Angeles. With the way they are playing they are getting closer and closer to the ultimate goal with each victory, even making believers out of the staunchest negadelphians.
And for that matter, some disgruntled fans as well.
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
Phils to take on Dodgers for World Series.....again
Haven't we been here before? Of course we have, but the majority of people reading this blog won't remember (or maybe weren't even born) when the Phillies last faced The Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLCS in 1983. I was just a kindergardner who remembers my neighbor's Moses Malone poster hanging proudly in his bedroom. It was only a few years later when I realized the signifigance of that poster. Oddly enough that year, the Sixers dusted the Lakers in four games to win the 1983 NBA Finals: to this day the LAST title that this town has seen. To add irony to the matter, the Phillies were in Los Angeles playing the Dodgers that night in May of 1983. As far as championships go, it seems that we either face a Los Angeles team, or have to beat them to get there. The Lakers robbed us of another NBA title in 2001,so now it's our turn.
The Phillies bats seemed to be heating up on Sunday as Jimmy Rollins and a rejuvanated Pat (Bring Back the Bat) Burrell slugged three home runs (two by Burrell) en route to a 6-2 Phillies win to clinch the NLDS against Milwaukee. After everything this frnachise has been through since their arrival in 2000, it was quite poetic that Rollins and Burrell sealed the deal. If Burrell has indeed found his stroke again, this means trouble for the Dodgers simply because they won't have the luxury of walking Ryan Howard to face him. Keep in mind that Howard has nine career home runs against the Dodgers, so he must make their pitching staff pay for mistakes.
Although the media is foaming at the bit for a Dodgers/Red Sox World Series and will always profess their undying love for Joe Torre and a hungry Manny Ramierez who is playing for a contract, you have to wonder if the Dodgers sweep against the Cubs was a result of them playing that well, or the Cubs simply falling apart once again. My guess is that it's a little of both. Their pitching has been more than consistent, with Derek Lowe always a threat in the postseason. Throw in Chad Billingsley and Hiroki Kuroda and the Dodgers can be dangerous. However, Cole Hamels, Brett Myers, and Jamie Moyer at their A game are better than the Dodgers top three at their A game.
Despite the bias of the media, the Dodgers and their mediocre 84-78 record in the World Series would once agian show how weak the National League can truly be. Everyone is making a big deal about how it's been 20 years since the team won a World Series. My response to that is best exemplified by a quote from the late Chris Farley: "WELL LADEE FREAKIN' DA!" It's been 28 long, frustruating years for the Phillies. The Dodgers have won two championships during this span and the Phillies have lost two. Nobody is crying for us. But then again, it's Philadelphia. We will NEVER be the media darlings.
Simply put, if the Phillies can hit the way they are capable of hitting, they can take the Dodgers in six games. If not, they could be swept right out of the NLCS, maybe stealing a game if they are lucky. If they are meant to win, it will happen.
I've counted them out several times this year and they have proven me wrong every single time. Many things must go right, just as they did against the Brewers. Why count them out now? They may be just getting started. Let's hope for the fans in the best city in the world that they are.
The Phillies bats seemed to be heating up on Sunday as Jimmy Rollins and a rejuvanated Pat (Bring Back the Bat) Burrell slugged three home runs (two by Burrell) en route to a 6-2 Phillies win to clinch the NLDS against Milwaukee. After everything this frnachise has been through since their arrival in 2000, it was quite poetic that Rollins and Burrell sealed the deal. If Burrell has indeed found his stroke again, this means trouble for the Dodgers simply because they won't have the luxury of walking Ryan Howard to face him. Keep in mind that Howard has nine career home runs against the Dodgers, so he must make their pitching staff pay for mistakes.
Although the media is foaming at the bit for a Dodgers/Red Sox World Series and will always profess their undying love for Joe Torre and a hungry Manny Ramierez who is playing for a contract, you have to wonder if the Dodgers sweep against the Cubs was a result of them playing that well, or the Cubs simply falling apart once again. My guess is that it's a little of both. Their pitching has been more than consistent, with Derek Lowe always a threat in the postseason. Throw in Chad Billingsley and Hiroki Kuroda and the Dodgers can be dangerous. However, Cole Hamels, Brett Myers, and Jamie Moyer at their A game are better than the Dodgers top three at their A game.
Despite the bias of the media, the Dodgers and their mediocre 84-78 record in the World Series would once agian show how weak the National League can truly be. Everyone is making a big deal about how it's been 20 years since the team won a World Series. My response to that is best exemplified by a quote from the late Chris Farley: "WELL LADEE FREAKIN' DA!" It's been 28 long, frustruating years for the Phillies. The Dodgers have won two championships during this span and the Phillies have lost two. Nobody is crying for us. But then again, it's Philadelphia. We will NEVER be the media darlings.
Simply put, if the Phillies can hit the way they are capable of hitting, they can take the Dodgers in six games. If not, they could be swept right out of the NLCS, maybe stealing a game if they are lucky. If they are meant to win, it will happen.
I've counted them out several times this year and they have proven me wrong every single time. Many things must go right, just as they did against the Brewers. Why count them out now? They may be just getting started. Let's hope for the fans in the best city in the world that they are.
Friday, October 3, 2008
Fightin' Phils go for the sweep
After witnessing one of the most memorable games in the history of the Philadelphia Phillies yesterday afternoon, you just have to sit back and tip your cap to this team. The play of the Phillies has been erratic at times this season, and I know it's just the inaugural round of the playoffs, but in just two games the Phillies have made me believe that almost anything is possible with this team. Many experts went on record saying that the Brewers would be in good shape if they were able to split two games in Philadelphia. The Phillies needed to win game one just to alleviate the pressure of facing C.C. Sabathia in game two, and also to get the monkey off their back from their short exit in the previous year's NLDS. Not only did they take game one, they decided to take game two to take a commanding series lead back to Milwaukee. The last time the Phillies were up 2-0 in a postseason series was.... dare I say it- 1980. A win tomorrow could put the team in the NLCS for the first time since 1993. Before we jump the gun, let's talk about yesterday's legendary game.
The challenge that was C.C. Sabathia was not one that Phillies fans were looking forward to after Wednesday's thrilling game one victory. In addition to facing Sabathia, there was the question as to which Brett Myers would show up for the Phillies- the one who got rocked in his final two appearances this season, or the one who resembled Bob Feller after he was recalled from the minor leagues in late July. After a shaky start, Myers settled down, not walking a batter after forcing in a run in the first inning and only surrendering one more hit while striking out four.
However it wasn't Myers pitching that turned this series in the Phillies favor: it was his at bat in the bottom of the second inning which may be the turning point in the entire series. A .069 hitter in 2008, Myers miraculously (Yes- that is the only word to describe his at bat) fought back from a 1-2 count to foul off three pitches and work a walk against Sabathia, who by this time was clearly rattled (whether by the fans, Myers at bat, or both). At first, the fans seemed to cheer Myers for his valiant attempt to keep the inning alive and the realization that at least the lineup would be turned over if he would fail to reach base. Then something came over the stadium. You really can't explain it unless you were there. It was if the tides had turned, and the ghost of Burt Hooten in 1977 was reincarnated in Sabathia. He was not the same pitcher after the Myers at bat. A Jimmy Rollins walk set the stage for Shane Victorino, who promptly smacked a 1-2 pitch into the left field seats for the Phillies first ever post-season grand slam and the first of his career. It's safe to say that the seemingly invincible Sabathia was not so invincible after all. With one swing of the bat, the Phillies seized the game's momentum. And although they had seven more innings to play, the game was unofficially theirs.
In the first two games, the Phillies simply did what championship caliber teams do in the playoffs: 1. Work the pitcher 2. Be aggressive on the base paths 3. Capitalize on other teams mistakes, and most importantly 4. Show plate discipline. The latter is something several Phillies have struggled with at times this season. The beginning of this change was evident in game one, in which last night's hero Victorino took a bases loaded walk to force in the Phillies third run. As recently as three weeks ago, there was a chance that Victorino waves at that pitch. However, this is the playoffs: No more padding stats for the season, no need to play hero. Not that I am insinuating that the Phillies play for stats, but the end result justifies everyone's needs come playoff time. The Phillies have also managed several double steals in this series, which can make the difference between zero runs, and two runs. And in the playoffs, ANY run can make a difference. Maybe Mike Cameron catches Chase Utley's line drive in game one on a May afternoon. Point is, he didn't, and the Phillies made him pay for it.
The exciting thing is that the Phillies seem to get it. With each passing game, they aren't playing tighter, but they're playing looser. They aren't arrogant but confident, emphasizing that this series is far from over. The scariest scenario is that the Phillies are far from peaking as a team offensively. The Phils have only scored in 2 out of 18 innings in the postseason. If the team makes it to the NLCS, Utley, Ryan Howard, and Pat Burrell will have to improve. If Hamels and Myers can stay in top form, the Phillies will be in good shape. Milwaukee is a solid baseball team, but the competition increases as the playoffs go on.
If the Brewers lose in game three, this will likely be their last hurrah with the expected trade of shortstop J.J. Hardy, and with starter Ben Sheets often injured and facing free agency. Moreover, you have to give credit to Sabathia for the job he has done with the Brewers. He is a decent guy, and his willingness to take the ball every third day during the stretch run with his free agency pending has earned him lifelong respect for his probably soon to be ex-teammates. Judging by the radar gun at Citizens Bank Park, it's not like Sabathia was running out of gas after pitching on just three days rest for the fourth time this season. The Phillies simply got to him. He will still make good money come wintertime, but his contract will in all likelihood exceed the entire payroll of the Brewers.
By winning Saturday, the Phillies will be one step closer to the NLCS. Let's not get cocky yet, the Phillies certainly aren't.
The challenge that was C.C. Sabathia was not one that Phillies fans were looking forward to after Wednesday's thrilling game one victory. In addition to facing Sabathia, there was the question as to which Brett Myers would show up for the Phillies- the one who got rocked in his final two appearances this season, or the one who resembled Bob Feller after he was recalled from the minor leagues in late July. After a shaky start, Myers settled down, not walking a batter after forcing in a run in the first inning and only surrendering one more hit while striking out four.
However it wasn't Myers pitching that turned this series in the Phillies favor: it was his at bat in the bottom of the second inning which may be the turning point in the entire series. A .069 hitter in 2008, Myers miraculously (Yes- that is the only word to describe his at bat) fought back from a 1-2 count to foul off three pitches and work a walk against Sabathia, who by this time was clearly rattled (whether by the fans, Myers at bat, or both). At first, the fans seemed to cheer Myers for his valiant attempt to keep the inning alive and the realization that at least the lineup would be turned over if he would fail to reach base. Then something came over the stadium. You really can't explain it unless you were there. It was if the tides had turned, and the ghost of Burt Hooten in 1977 was reincarnated in Sabathia. He was not the same pitcher after the Myers at bat. A Jimmy Rollins walk set the stage for Shane Victorino, who promptly smacked a 1-2 pitch into the left field seats for the Phillies first ever post-season grand slam and the first of his career. It's safe to say that the seemingly invincible Sabathia was not so invincible after all. With one swing of the bat, the Phillies seized the game's momentum. And although they had seven more innings to play, the game was unofficially theirs.
In the first two games, the Phillies simply did what championship caliber teams do in the playoffs: 1. Work the pitcher 2. Be aggressive on the base paths 3. Capitalize on other teams mistakes, and most importantly 4. Show plate discipline. The latter is something several Phillies have struggled with at times this season. The beginning of this change was evident in game one, in which last night's hero Victorino took a bases loaded walk to force in the Phillies third run. As recently as three weeks ago, there was a chance that Victorino waves at that pitch. However, this is the playoffs: No more padding stats for the season, no need to play hero. Not that I am insinuating that the Phillies play for stats, but the end result justifies everyone's needs come playoff time. The Phillies have also managed several double steals in this series, which can make the difference between zero runs, and two runs. And in the playoffs, ANY run can make a difference. Maybe Mike Cameron catches Chase Utley's line drive in game one on a May afternoon. Point is, he didn't, and the Phillies made him pay for it.
The exciting thing is that the Phillies seem to get it. With each passing game, they aren't playing tighter, but they're playing looser. They aren't arrogant but confident, emphasizing that this series is far from over. The scariest scenario is that the Phillies are far from peaking as a team offensively. The Phils have only scored in 2 out of 18 innings in the postseason. If the team makes it to the NLCS, Utley, Ryan Howard, and Pat Burrell will have to improve. If Hamels and Myers can stay in top form, the Phillies will be in good shape. Milwaukee is a solid baseball team, but the competition increases as the playoffs go on.
If the Brewers lose in game three, this will likely be their last hurrah with the expected trade of shortstop J.J. Hardy, and with starter Ben Sheets often injured and facing free agency. Moreover, you have to give credit to Sabathia for the job he has done with the Brewers. He is a decent guy, and his willingness to take the ball every third day during the stretch run with his free agency pending has earned him lifelong respect for his probably soon to be ex-teammates. Judging by the radar gun at Citizens Bank Park, it's not like Sabathia was running out of gas after pitching on just three days rest for the fourth time this season. The Phillies simply got to him. He will still make good money come wintertime, but his contract will in all likelihood exceed the entire payroll of the Brewers.
By winning Saturday, the Phillies will be one step closer to the NLCS. Let's not get cocky yet, the Phillies certainly aren't.
Friday, September 26, 2008
The moment of truth for the 2008 Phillies
With just three games remaining in the regular season, the Phillies statistically find themselves in a better position than they were last year. In addition to facing the lowly Washington Nationals to close out the regular season, the Mets are playing the Florida Marlins at home to hopefully close out their ENTIRE season. Getting a feeling of deja vu yet?
Out of the three teams vying for the final two playoff spots, one has to like the Phillies chances better than the Mets or the Brewers. In saying that, this weekend could very well be one the pivotal moments in the history of this looooooooooong suffering franchise of the Phillies. Win, and all is well. Lose, and you can just chalk up ANOTHER disappointment in the history of Philadelphia sports. Philly fans are tough and resilient, but everybody has a breaking point. And to furthermore prove that nothing is EVER easy in Philadelphia, mother nature plans of wrecking some severe havoc on the tri-state area this weekend. I won't even get into all of the possibilities that could happen with these games if inclimate weather prohibits the teams from playing because frankly, it's too damn confusing and the situation is too lengthy and complicated. So I'll make it easy.
If the Phils win out, they are division champs for the second consecutive year. If they fall to Washington and slump to the Wild Card, or even worse lose all three games and fail to make the playoffs, it may be the final straw for the fans in this town as far as baseball is concerned. Philly fans are desperate for a winner. And while we absolutely have an undying hatred for The New York Mets, even the most grandiose of haters has to admire their grit and determination.
In saying that, the possibility of losing your division to the much malingered and injury depleted Mets squad is like losing a fist fight to somebody with no arms. And with many, many Phillies headed for salary arbitration, ownership will almost surely use this excuse for not trying to improve the team this winter. The National League East is often known as the National League least, and this will furthermore reinforce these opinions of Phillies fans and the so-called experts alike if the Mets manage to pull this thing off. At this point, you HAVE to win the division. Facing the Cubs (although there are concerns about the overall health of the team) at Wrigley Field will not be fun in a first round matchup. I would much rather take my chances with Milwaukee (possibly minus Ben Sheets) or even the inconsistent Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park. Truth be told, the winner of this division has a legitimate shot at a World Series berth if they are lucky enough to hold off the (even more cursed than the Phillies) Cubs if both teams find themselves in the NLCS.
In addition to having the division title at stake, the two losses at home to the lowly Atlanta Braves and the second consecutive rough outing by Brett Myers has raised some cause for concern even though the Phillies are on the doorstep of the postseason. To be fair, the Phillies had won ten out of their last eleven games, and flat out pulverized the Braves in 2008, but they really picked the wrong time to fall flat. As for Myers, rumor has it that he has recently suffered from a mechanical glitch in his delivery. For the team's sake, one hopes that this is true. With Cole Hamels (whether fairly or unfairly) recently wearing the tag of the "pitcher who can't win the big game", Myers has become your ace in the hole. Major, major trouble lurks on the horizon if the Phils make the playoffs and neither Hamels or Myers can keep it together.
Every year brings new surpises to a team. The Phillies are one of the healthiest teams in the major leagues. You never know when the injury bug is just around the corner (see Atlanta-2008). That is why you have to win NOW. With the Mets payroll about to explode in 2009, who knows when this team will get another legitimate chance. You know what they say about karma, but you can't tell me the Phillies used up all of theirs last year? Can you?
Out of the three teams vying for the final two playoff spots, one has to like the Phillies chances better than the Mets or the Brewers. In saying that, this weekend could very well be one the pivotal moments in the history of this looooooooooong suffering franchise of the Phillies. Win, and all is well. Lose, and you can just chalk up ANOTHER disappointment in the history of Philadelphia sports. Philly fans are tough and resilient, but everybody has a breaking point. And to furthermore prove that nothing is EVER easy in Philadelphia, mother nature plans of wrecking some severe havoc on the tri-state area this weekend. I won't even get into all of the possibilities that could happen with these games if inclimate weather prohibits the teams from playing because frankly, it's too damn confusing and the situation is too lengthy and complicated. So I'll make it easy.
If the Phils win out, they are division champs for the second consecutive year. If they fall to Washington and slump to the Wild Card, or even worse lose all three games and fail to make the playoffs, it may be the final straw for the fans in this town as far as baseball is concerned. Philly fans are desperate for a winner. And while we absolutely have an undying hatred for The New York Mets, even the most grandiose of haters has to admire their grit and determination.
In saying that, the possibility of losing your division to the much malingered and injury depleted Mets squad is like losing a fist fight to somebody with no arms. And with many, many Phillies headed for salary arbitration, ownership will almost surely use this excuse for not trying to improve the team this winter. The National League East is often known as the National League least, and this will furthermore reinforce these opinions of Phillies fans and the so-called experts alike if the Mets manage to pull this thing off. At this point, you HAVE to win the division. Facing the Cubs (although there are concerns about the overall health of the team) at Wrigley Field will not be fun in a first round matchup. I would much rather take my chances with Milwaukee (possibly minus Ben Sheets) or even the inconsistent Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park. Truth be told, the winner of this division has a legitimate shot at a World Series berth if they are lucky enough to hold off the (even more cursed than the Phillies) Cubs if both teams find themselves in the NLCS.
In addition to having the division title at stake, the two losses at home to the lowly Atlanta Braves and the second consecutive rough outing by Brett Myers has raised some cause for concern even though the Phillies are on the doorstep of the postseason. To be fair, the Phillies had won ten out of their last eleven games, and flat out pulverized the Braves in 2008, but they really picked the wrong time to fall flat. As for Myers, rumor has it that he has recently suffered from a mechanical glitch in his delivery. For the team's sake, one hopes that this is true. With Cole Hamels (whether fairly or unfairly) recently wearing the tag of the "pitcher who can't win the big game", Myers has become your ace in the hole. Major, major trouble lurks on the horizon if the Phils make the playoffs and neither Hamels or Myers can keep it together.
Every year brings new surpises to a team. The Phillies are one of the healthiest teams in the major leagues. You never know when the injury bug is just around the corner (see Atlanta-2008). That is why you have to win NOW. With the Mets payroll about to explode in 2009, who knows when this team will get another legitimate chance. You know what they say about karma, but you can't tell me the Phillies used up all of theirs last year? Can you?
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Ryan Howard, McNabb, Dawkins, and my two cents
Right now, from this point on, you will NEVER hear me slam Ryan Howard again. Yes, I was one of many who bashed number six several times this summer when weeks went by where it looked like he never seen a baseball in his life. However, in my twenty plus years of watching this team, only three players come to mind who are, as once phrased by Jim Fregosi- "red light players": 1. Lenny Dykstra 2. Curt Schilling and 3. Ryan Howard These are indeed special players. Players who thrive when the camera light turns on, when pressure is on, and when the games count now more than anything. Only three players in a cast of thousands over the last two decades is not very good. That is why the Phillies have no choice to give Howard the money that he commands for a long term contract. Although an energized Jimmy Rollins has helped revitalize the bats with help from Jayson Werth and Shane Victorino, Howard has taken his performance to another level. Make no mistakes, Howard's game still has his holes (strikeouts, Ricky Jordan's disease), but when he turns it on like he is right now, his pluses outweigh the minuses. Oh, and the fact that the Phils are probably going to the playoffs helps as well. The team currently has seemed to recapture the magic from 2007 that enamored them to the entire tri-state area. It didn't seem like it was always there this summer. For now it has unquestionably returned, and that's enough for me to be a believer. With Ben Sheets having more arm problems, it looks like Milwaukee may miss the playoffs again, and that the Mets may not hold onto the division, but could very well be the NL Wild Card. It could make for a very interesting NL Playoffs, and with two of the most cursed teams in baseball possibly going head to head for a World Series berth, something's got to give.
Which now brings me to the Eagles. After Monday night's heartbreaking loss to the Cowboys on Monday Night Football (also known as "The One That Got Away", several questions were answered regarding the 2008 squad, and several more have arisen:
1. The Eagles CAN compete with the big boys, but can they BEAT the big boys- In divisional games, the teams always take their game to another level, and Monday's game was no exception. I hate the Cowboys, but you have give credit where it is due. The Eagles rattled Tony Romo several times, with one of the times resulting in a touchdown. To Romo's credit, he didn't let it rattle him and he pulled out a victory. The Eagles could have put Dallas away on several possessions, but failed to do so and it cost them the game. Failure to penetrate the end zone in the second quarter when the score is 27-21 would have put the game out of reach. The Eagles however, only managed a field goal and the rest is history. Championship teams have that killer instinct to put teams away. The Eagles don't have that, and they had better find it if they wanna be considered a serious contender.
2. Donovan McNabb CAN still play, but he can't close the game- If you look at McNabb's numbers for Monday (25/37 with 281 Yds Passing) it's obvious that if he stays healthy, he has several good years left in his 31 year old body. The bad news- McNabb plays one of the best 57 minute games in the NFL. Problem is that there are the three other minutes in the game that have had Eagles fans scratching their heads for the last decade. Hall of Fame QB's take their team down the field and execute. All anyone needs to know about Donovan McNabb's career should watch that Monday Night Football game, which sums up his career in a nutshell (even more so than the Super Bowl). I couldn't help but feel that I was watching the same game that I have been watching for the last ten years when the Eagles lost Monday night, and the fumble and overthrow on third down in the fourth quarter were unacceptable.
I am one of the rare oddities who is in the middle of the road when it comes to Donovan McNabb. I am more of a supporter than a basher. We are watching the best quarterback in the history of the franchise. The Eagles will win a Super Bowl one day, but four consecutive trips to the NFC Championship Game may never happen again. There is nothing I would change about McNabb's game, except for those final three minutes. A "red light player", he has yet to prove. And after ten years in the NFL, I get this sinking feeling that we may never see those final three minutes we've all been waiting for from Donovan McNabb.
4. Brian Dawkins- From one athlete who still can play, to an Eagles legend whose game is becoming the most painful one of all to watch. At 34 years of age, Dawkins obviously is not the force he once was, and several plays on Monday night in which he seemingly was burned by Jason Witten and Terrell Owens multiple times has only brought more speculation to the fact that Dawkins game is fading. One of the classiest Eagles of all time, I hope that Dawkins is smart enough to know when his playing days are over and doesn't overextend his welcome and become a detriment to the team like so many other athletes have done in the past. A man of his stature should exit the game gracefully.
Which now brings me to the Eagles. After Monday night's heartbreaking loss to the Cowboys on Monday Night Football (also known as "The One That Got Away", several questions were answered regarding the 2008 squad, and several more have arisen:
1. The Eagles CAN compete with the big boys, but can they BEAT the big boys- In divisional games, the teams always take their game to another level, and Monday's game was no exception. I hate the Cowboys, but you have give credit where it is due. The Eagles rattled Tony Romo several times, with one of the times resulting in a touchdown. To Romo's credit, he didn't let it rattle him and he pulled out a victory. The Eagles could have put Dallas away on several possessions, but failed to do so and it cost them the game. Failure to penetrate the end zone in the second quarter when the score is 27-21 would have put the game out of reach. The Eagles however, only managed a field goal and the rest is history. Championship teams have that killer instinct to put teams away. The Eagles don't have that, and they had better find it if they wanna be considered a serious contender.
2. Donovan McNabb CAN still play, but he can't close the game- If you look at McNabb's numbers for Monday (25/37 with 281 Yds Passing) it's obvious that if he stays healthy, he has several good years left in his 31 year old body. The bad news- McNabb plays one of the best 57 minute games in the NFL. Problem is that there are the three other minutes in the game that have had Eagles fans scratching their heads for the last decade. Hall of Fame QB's take their team down the field and execute. All anyone needs to know about Donovan McNabb's career should watch that Monday Night Football game, which sums up his career in a nutshell (even more so than the Super Bowl). I couldn't help but feel that I was watching the same game that I have been watching for the last ten years when the Eagles lost Monday night, and the fumble and overthrow on third down in the fourth quarter were unacceptable.
I am one of the rare oddities who is in the middle of the road when it comes to Donovan McNabb. I am more of a supporter than a basher. We are watching the best quarterback in the history of the franchise. The Eagles will win a Super Bowl one day, but four consecutive trips to the NFC Championship Game may never happen again. There is nothing I would change about McNabb's game, except for those final three minutes. A "red light player", he has yet to prove. And after ten years in the NFL, I get this sinking feeling that we may never see those final three minutes we've all been waiting for from Donovan McNabb.
4. Brian Dawkins- From one athlete who still can play, to an Eagles legend whose game is becoming the most painful one of all to watch. At 34 years of age, Dawkins obviously is not the force he once was, and several plays on Monday night in which he seemingly was burned by Jason Witten and Terrell Owens multiple times has only brought more speculation to the fact that Dawkins game is fading. One of the classiest Eagles of all time, I hope that Dawkins is smart enough to know when his playing days are over and doesn't overextend his welcome and become a detriment to the team like so many other athletes have done in the past. A man of his stature should exit the game gracefully.
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
Playoffs or not, expect changes in '09 for the Phils
After yesterday's humilaition at the hands of Tim Redding(?)and the streaking (yes, I said streaking) Washington Nationals, the Philadelphia Phillies are slowly but surely losing momentum in this free-for-all we call the National League East. With emerging MVP candidate Carlos Delgado's two-run, game-winning homer against the now Ben Sheets less Brewers, the Mets now hold a two game lead on our fighting Phils. There are twenty four games left in this season, but the Phillies MUST, I repeat MUST take the remaining two games from Washington, and MUST take two out of three from the Mets this weekend at Shea to even have a hope of staying alive in this race, or by Sunday this thing could be all but over.
Whether the Phillies make the playoffs or not this year (and right now, I still have to go with the Mets) this will be a different Phillies team in 2009. Some faces will definately be gone, some may be traded, and some may be gone who shouldn't go. Let's weigh out some of the scenarios:
Ryan Howard- I understand that this is a very controversial topic. Let's be honest, Phillies brass will obviously try to find reasons not to give Howard a pay increase for 2009. Numbers are numbers however, and expect Howard to be awarded somewhere in the range of $14 million for next year alone in the arbitration hearings. This will not thrill the Phillies one bit. Casual fans will think I'm crazy, but don't be surprised if the Phillies attempt to trade Howard for front line starting pitching or major prospects. It is almost defniate that Howard will be leaving Philadelphia after 2010 and the Phillies will get nothing for him in return if time is running out (see Scott Rolen, Curt Schilling). Plus, Howard wants way too much money for a slugger who will surpass 200 strikeouts in a year and whose defense is a constant detriment to the team. If the Phillies can find a first baseman who strikes out way less and is a clutch hitter who plays great defense, they should at least try to acquire one. Make no mistake, Howard is not entirely to blame for the Phillies silent bats this summer, but a shakeup is needed if there are no playoffs for this team. To move Howard would be to try to improve the team, and the Phillies aren't going be confused with the Tampa Bay Rays any time soon.
Jimmy Rollins- There has been speculation that for the Phillies to get to the next level, one of the big three will have to go (Utley, Rollins, or Howard). Jimmy Rollins' performance this season on and off the field has been inexcusable and disheartening at the same time. His "anything goes" approach at the plate is getting more and more aggravating as the years go by. The fact that a leadoff hitter is not patient at the plate is mind boggling. We won't even get into the whole "front runners" comment, but rumors have it that Rollins is not happy with his current contract. If that is indeed the case, he is not exactly endearing himself to the brass to where they would want to renegotiate with him. Stories and scuttlebut surround the off-season, and don't be shocked if there was more to Rollins behavior and performance this season than meets the eye. Time will tell, but unless some team blows the Phillies out of the water with a package that may include Rollins, expect him to be back.
Pedro Feliz- Truth be told, Feliz has offensively been a letdown. That being said, I would still take him every day of the year over Wes Helms. Phillies fans have not seen that kind of defense at third base since Scott Rolen, and Feliz has a penchant for the big hit when he has been healthy more than Utley or Rollins this summer. Feliz is owed around $4 million for 2009, so chances are he will be back regarding some crazy package deal that never seems to fall in the lap of the Phillies anyway.
Pat Burrell- In recent weeks Burrell has struggled, but until then was one of the more consistent bats in an inconsistent lineup. Burrell has his holes, but has more of an upside than downside. He will be 32 in October and probably has a few good years left. He loves playing in Philly, and only two players in the history of this long suffering franchise have hit more home runs than he has. With his power numbers still strong, that has to count for something. If this team ever miraculously wins a World Series, it would be nice for Burrell to be part of that. He has earned the right to stay here, and he probably would take a hometown discount to do so. With the Phillies high on prospect Greg Golson and with Jayson Werth coming into his own in right field, Burrell may be expendable. Another possibility is trading Ryan Howard and moving Burrell to first base. Burrel's return is probably 50/50, but let's hope they "BRING BACK THE BAT".
Carlos Ruiz/Chris Coste- To be fair to Ruiz, he is praised for handling the pitching staff the way he does. As far as offensively, he has been the weakest link in the Phillies lineup all year. More was expected out of Ruiz after a solid regular season and also in the NLDS. If the offense was running on all eight cylinders, people wouldn't even care that Ruiz is hitting .221. Fact of the matter is, the offense isn't consistent, and people now start to point fingers. Coste is the ultimate team guy and a great success story. However, Ruiz's shortcomings with the bat have pushed Coste into the everyday lineup more times than the Phillies would have hoped, and as a result he is getting exposed. Coste may return in 2009 because he can hit, and is capable of playing third base and first base in a limited role of the bench. Ruiz is younger and a solid defensive catcher, so that may make him more tradeable. Chances are that prospect Lou Marson will not be ready come opening day 2009, so expect the Phils to sign a stop gap catcher (Benito Santiago-1996) while Marson is the backup.
Brett Myers- This may be the biggest question mark of them all. To say that Myers is the team's second half MVP is not a stretch to say the least. Myers has been nothing short of spectacular since his demotion to the minor leagues this summer, and he is solidifying himself as a dominant number two starter in the big leagues. At the same time, Myers performance during the last several weeks could also have the Phillies using him as trade bait in the off-season. Myers is slated to make $12 million next year and has long expressed his desire to be a reliever. With Brad Lidge locked up for the next three years, Myers will not get the chance to close. Due to his newfound success as a starter, it is possible that Myers may want to continue starting. We'll have to wait and see on this one. With Kyle Kendrick increasingly inconsistent and Carlos Carrasco not quite ready for the bigs yet, I would say the chances are maybe more than 50/50 that he will return, unless the Phils can acquire a better starter, or just want to give Myers and the team a fresh start.
Adam Eaton- The fact that Eaton couldn't get ANYBODY out in the minor leagues is a total disgrace to himself, the fans, and the organization. It's not that the post-Giles regime doesn't spend money, they don't spend it wisely. There was no bidding war for Eaton. The Phils simply gave him a three year deal at the price of around $25 million dollars. That is why he will be on this team next year. The Phillies wouldn't even cut So Taguchi, so you know they won't dump Eaton. And forget the fact about trading him anywhere and taking on half of his salary. If Eaton had any character, he should retire, or donate a portion of his salary to charity. I know that is easier said than done, but I would love to make millions of dollars and do my job less than half assed. All the money in the world can't take the place of embarrassment.
Kyle Kendrick- Maybe someday, Kyle Kendrick will be a consistent major league pitcher. However, that time is not now, and he is hurting the team more than he has helped them since the All-Star break. His ERA is now 5.08, and he will probably be bumped in the rotation on Sunday in place of Cole Hammels at Shea Stadium. Kendrick was a godsend last summer, and the Phillies wouldn't have made the playoffs without his help. In saying this, he is not helping them now, and with Carlos Carrasco waiting in the wings, don't be surprised if the Phils shop him around this offseason. Kendrick's control is way too shaky to make him a bullpen pitcher, and the Phils can't afford to keep putting lackluster pitching out on the mound when you are fighting for your playoff lives in September.
Jamie Moyer- Moyer was supposed to spend the final month of 2006 with the Phillies, then call it a career. He was so rejuvanated that he returned to the team in 2007, helped the Phillies clinch the NL East on the final day of the season, mentored young pitchers like Hammels and Kendrick, and has been the healthiest and most consistent starter in 2008. Veterans like Moyer don't just grow on trees, and at 45 years of age he is probably older than some trees. Moyer not only plans to keep pitching in 2009, he may plan to pitch after that season as well. Only problem is, the Phillies might not want him back. It is a valid point, but Moyer has shown no signs of slowing down this year and until he proves otherwise, he should be allowed to finish his career here. As much as I knock the Phillies, they have a better chance of winning a title than Seattle, where Moyer still makes his home and where Phillies GM Pat Gillick will likely wind up in 2009. The quote by assistant (and likely future) GM Ruben Amaro Jr. concerning the possible chances of Moyer not returning next year were untimely and classless. A classy act like Moyer should be entitled to have his affairs kept private until the off season. Odds are probably 50/50 he returns.
So Taguchi- Taguchi is hitting .198 and his fielding has been even more horrendous. The fact that he is even still on this team is an insult to the Philly fans as well as the players on the team. Odds are almost %100 that he will not be back. I said almost because the Phillies are never one to respect their fan base, they just take our money, no questions asked.
Geoff Jenkins- Jenkins has been a major disapointment, but as we all know, the Phillies will not eat salary and Jenkins is owed $6.5 million in 2009. Unless the Phillies try to trade him (and their probably won't be many takers for a 34 year-old former slugger with slow bat speed), expect Jenkins to be back, but in a limited role due to the emergence of Jayson Werth as an everyday player.
The Phillies Bullpen- The bullpen has probably been the most consistent part of the team from the start of the season up until the last week. Relief pitchers are spotty (see Rheal Cormier) and are known to have great years followed by horrendous ones. Chad Durbin has been the most consistent reliever who is not named Brad Lidge all season, but now is showing signs of leaking oil. There is no way to tell if his shoulder can take the pounding of another year in the pen. Durbin's upsode is that he is relatively young. Ryan Madson has pitched well more times than not, but the "deer in the headlights" look when he enters the eight inning is hit or miss. The Phillies acquired Scott Eyre as a lefthanded specialist to compliment J.C. Romero (and also because his contract will expire soon). Eyre has been solid so far, and the Phils would be wise to bring him back in the same role next season, though they may decide to go with J.A. Haap instead. Rudy Seanez has pitched well at times, but he is injury prone and nearing 40 at season's end. Not a good combination for a reliever (see Tom Gordon). Clay Condrey has pitched well in mop up situations, but his spot next year will probably be vacated by the more expensive and less reliable Adam Eaton. In closing, most of these guys will be back than not, but expect some replacements for the older veterans.
One thing is for certain, the Phillies will be a different team than the one you are looking at for the final weeks of 2008. For better or worse remains to be seen. The team has been a consistent 80 plus-win team for almost a decade now. Management will be the key factor as to whether this team has reached the pinnacle of their ability, or will now begin the downward spiral that permeated the 1990's. With rumors of Mark Cuban clamoring to buy the Cubs, and with the estimated $800 million dollar value of the Mets after moving into their new stadium in 2009, the Phillies brass and players have their work cut out for the them, not just for the next few years, but for the next few decades.
Im sure however, that Phillies management is right on top of things, is up to the challenge and everything will be fine.............................(Insert joke here)
Whether the Phillies make the playoffs or not this year (and right now, I still have to go with the Mets) this will be a different Phillies team in 2009. Some faces will definately be gone, some may be traded, and some may be gone who shouldn't go. Let's weigh out some of the scenarios:
Ryan Howard- I understand that this is a very controversial topic. Let's be honest, Phillies brass will obviously try to find reasons not to give Howard a pay increase for 2009. Numbers are numbers however, and expect Howard to be awarded somewhere in the range of $14 million for next year alone in the arbitration hearings. This will not thrill the Phillies one bit. Casual fans will think I'm crazy, but don't be surprised if the Phillies attempt to trade Howard for front line starting pitching or major prospects. It is almost defniate that Howard will be leaving Philadelphia after 2010 and the Phillies will get nothing for him in return if time is running out (see Scott Rolen, Curt Schilling). Plus, Howard wants way too much money for a slugger who will surpass 200 strikeouts in a year and whose defense is a constant detriment to the team. If the Phillies can find a first baseman who strikes out way less and is a clutch hitter who plays great defense, they should at least try to acquire one. Make no mistake, Howard is not entirely to blame for the Phillies silent bats this summer, but a shakeup is needed if there are no playoffs for this team. To move Howard would be to try to improve the team, and the Phillies aren't going be confused with the Tampa Bay Rays any time soon.
Jimmy Rollins- There has been speculation that for the Phillies to get to the next level, one of the big three will have to go (Utley, Rollins, or Howard). Jimmy Rollins' performance this season on and off the field has been inexcusable and disheartening at the same time. His "anything goes" approach at the plate is getting more and more aggravating as the years go by. The fact that a leadoff hitter is not patient at the plate is mind boggling. We won't even get into the whole "front runners" comment, but rumors have it that Rollins is not happy with his current contract. If that is indeed the case, he is not exactly endearing himself to the brass to where they would want to renegotiate with him. Stories and scuttlebut surround the off-season, and don't be shocked if there was more to Rollins behavior and performance this season than meets the eye. Time will tell, but unless some team blows the Phillies out of the water with a package that may include Rollins, expect him to be back.
Pedro Feliz- Truth be told, Feliz has offensively been a letdown. That being said, I would still take him every day of the year over Wes Helms. Phillies fans have not seen that kind of defense at third base since Scott Rolen, and Feliz has a penchant for the big hit when he has been healthy more than Utley or Rollins this summer. Feliz is owed around $4 million for 2009, so chances are he will be back regarding some crazy package deal that never seems to fall in the lap of the Phillies anyway.
Pat Burrell- In recent weeks Burrell has struggled, but until then was one of the more consistent bats in an inconsistent lineup. Burrell has his holes, but has more of an upside than downside. He will be 32 in October and probably has a few good years left. He loves playing in Philly, and only two players in the history of this long suffering franchise have hit more home runs than he has. With his power numbers still strong, that has to count for something. If this team ever miraculously wins a World Series, it would be nice for Burrell to be part of that. He has earned the right to stay here, and he probably would take a hometown discount to do so. With the Phillies high on prospect Greg Golson and with Jayson Werth coming into his own in right field, Burrell may be expendable. Another possibility is trading Ryan Howard and moving Burrell to first base. Burrel's return is probably 50/50, but let's hope they "BRING BACK THE BAT".
Carlos Ruiz/Chris Coste- To be fair to Ruiz, he is praised for handling the pitching staff the way he does. As far as offensively, he has been the weakest link in the Phillies lineup all year. More was expected out of Ruiz after a solid regular season and also in the NLDS. If the offense was running on all eight cylinders, people wouldn't even care that Ruiz is hitting .221. Fact of the matter is, the offense isn't consistent, and people now start to point fingers. Coste is the ultimate team guy and a great success story. However, Ruiz's shortcomings with the bat have pushed Coste into the everyday lineup more times than the Phillies would have hoped, and as a result he is getting exposed. Coste may return in 2009 because he can hit, and is capable of playing third base and first base in a limited role of the bench. Ruiz is younger and a solid defensive catcher, so that may make him more tradeable. Chances are that prospect Lou Marson will not be ready come opening day 2009, so expect the Phils to sign a stop gap catcher (Benito Santiago-1996) while Marson is the backup.
Brett Myers- This may be the biggest question mark of them all. To say that Myers is the team's second half MVP is not a stretch to say the least. Myers has been nothing short of spectacular since his demotion to the minor leagues this summer, and he is solidifying himself as a dominant number two starter in the big leagues. At the same time, Myers performance during the last several weeks could also have the Phillies using him as trade bait in the off-season. Myers is slated to make $12 million next year and has long expressed his desire to be a reliever. With Brad Lidge locked up for the next three years, Myers will not get the chance to close. Due to his newfound success as a starter, it is possible that Myers may want to continue starting. We'll have to wait and see on this one. With Kyle Kendrick increasingly inconsistent and Carlos Carrasco not quite ready for the bigs yet, I would say the chances are maybe more than 50/50 that he will return, unless the Phils can acquire a better starter, or just want to give Myers and the team a fresh start.
Adam Eaton- The fact that Eaton couldn't get ANYBODY out in the minor leagues is a total disgrace to himself, the fans, and the organization. It's not that the post-Giles regime doesn't spend money, they don't spend it wisely. There was no bidding war for Eaton. The Phils simply gave him a three year deal at the price of around $25 million dollars. That is why he will be on this team next year. The Phillies wouldn't even cut So Taguchi, so you know they won't dump Eaton. And forget the fact about trading him anywhere and taking on half of his salary. If Eaton had any character, he should retire, or donate a portion of his salary to charity. I know that is easier said than done, but I would love to make millions of dollars and do my job less than half assed. All the money in the world can't take the place of embarrassment.
Kyle Kendrick- Maybe someday, Kyle Kendrick will be a consistent major league pitcher. However, that time is not now, and he is hurting the team more than he has helped them since the All-Star break. His ERA is now 5.08, and he will probably be bumped in the rotation on Sunday in place of Cole Hammels at Shea Stadium. Kendrick was a godsend last summer, and the Phillies wouldn't have made the playoffs without his help. In saying this, he is not helping them now, and with Carlos Carrasco waiting in the wings, don't be surprised if the Phils shop him around this offseason. Kendrick's control is way too shaky to make him a bullpen pitcher, and the Phils can't afford to keep putting lackluster pitching out on the mound when you are fighting for your playoff lives in September.
Jamie Moyer- Moyer was supposed to spend the final month of 2006 with the Phillies, then call it a career. He was so rejuvanated that he returned to the team in 2007, helped the Phillies clinch the NL East on the final day of the season, mentored young pitchers like Hammels and Kendrick, and has been the healthiest and most consistent starter in 2008. Veterans like Moyer don't just grow on trees, and at 45 years of age he is probably older than some trees. Moyer not only plans to keep pitching in 2009, he may plan to pitch after that season as well. Only problem is, the Phillies might not want him back. It is a valid point, but Moyer has shown no signs of slowing down this year and until he proves otherwise, he should be allowed to finish his career here. As much as I knock the Phillies, they have a better chance of winning a title than Seattle, where Moyer still makes his home and where Phillies GM Pat Gillick will likely wind up in 2009. The quote by assistant (and likely future) GM Ruben Amaro Jr. concerning the possible chances of Moyer not returning next year were untimely and classless. A classy act like Moyer should be entitled to have his affairs kept private until the off season. Odds are probably 50/50 he returns.
So Taguchi- Taguchi is hitting .198 and his fielding has been even more horrendous. The fact that he is even still on this team is an insult to the Philly fans as well as the players on the team. Odds are almost %100 that he will not be back. I said almost because the Phillies are never one to respect their fan base, they just take our money, no questions asked.
Geoff Jenkins- Jenkins has been a major disapointment, but as we all know, the Phillies will not eat salary and Jenkins is owed $6.5 million in 2009. Unless the Phillies try to trade him (and their probably won't be many takers for a 34 year-old former slugger with slow bat speed), expect Jenkins to be back, but in a limited role due to the emergence of Jayson Werth as an everyday player.
The Phillies Bullpen- The bullpen has probably been the most consistent part of the team from the start of the season up until the last week. Relief pitchers are spotty (see Rheal Cormier) and are known to have great years followed by horrendous ones. Chad Durbin has been the most consistent reliever who is not named Brad Lidge all season, but now is showing signs of leaking oil. There is no way to tell if his shoulder can take the pounding of another year in the pen. Durbin's upsode is that he is relatively young. Ryan Madson has pitched well more times than not, but the "deer in the headlights" look when he enters the eight inning is hit or miss. The Phillies acquired Scott Eyre as a lefthanded specialist to compliment J.C. Romero (and also because his contract will expire soon). Eyre has been solid so far, and the Phils would be wise to bring him back in the same role next season, though they may decide to go with J.A. Haap instead. Rudy Seanez has pitched well at times, but he is injury prone and nearing 40 at season's end. Not a good combination for a reliever (see Tom Gordon). Clay Condrey has pitched well in mop up situations, but his spot next year will probably be vacated by the more expensive and less reliable Adam Eaton. In closing, most of these guys will be back than not, but expect some replacements for the older veterans.
One thing is for certain, the Phillies will be a different team than the one you are looking at for the final weeks of 2008. For better or worse remains to be seen. The team has been a consistent 80 plus-win team for almost a decade now. Management will be the key factor as to whether this team has reached the pinnacle of their ability, or will now begin the downward spiral that permeated the 1990's. With rumors of Mark Cuban clamoring to buy the Cubs, and with the estimated $800 million dollar value of the Mets after moving into their new stadium in 2009, the Phillies brass and players have their work cut out for the them, not just for the next few years, but for the next few decades.
Im sure however, that Phillies management is right on top of things, is up to the challenge and everything will be fine.............................(Insert joke here)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)